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2023-06-14 15:02:07
According to the NHTSA, the data used in this analysis is not normalized, and cannot be used to compare incident rates between manufacturers without the additional context of miles driven. Most ADAS incident data comes from police reports, where Tesla's data is from telemetry. [Link]
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2023-06-14 15:30:20
The Tweet's claim the Washington Post "analysis" of NHTSA data concludes Tesla vehicles on Autopilot are "10 times more deadly than a regular car" is false. Not only does the Post piece never make this claim, it would be impossible to do so given lack of data on miles driven. [Link]
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2023-06-14 15:34:50
New Vehicle Safety Report Reveals Teslas Using Autopilot Are 10x Safer [Link]
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2023-06-14 16:00:51
The article's calculation of 11.3 deaths per 100 million miles is incorrect, because it is based on a false assumption: that all 17 deaths involved FSD Beta. In fact, as of this time no deaths have involved FSD Beta. [Link]
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2023-06-14 16:21:35
The math in this article is incorrect. Autopilot has driven over 10 billion miles, not merely 150 million. 150 million is the number of city streets FSD Beta miles with 0 known fatalities. As such the article over-estimates the fatality rate by somewhere between 100x - 1000x
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2023-06-14 18:30:11
NNN Tweet paraphrased analysis by Ryan Cooper of Washington Post report that infers from censored, incomplete & anecdotal evidence a hypothesis of higher deaths rather than lower. The article's author's Tweet makes sense to Note, but this tweet accurately summarized an article.
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2023-06-14 20:38:42
The NHTSA has not determined that any fatalities were the fault of Tesla Full Self Driving. [Link] Additionally, Tesla FSD results in significantly less accidents per million miles driven than the United States average. [Link]
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2023-06-15 05:29:47
The article is flawed as its core argument is based on an factual error. It uses reported fatalities of Tesla Autopilot (standard driver assist system) and divides them with miles driven on FSD Beta. Miles driven on FSD Beta (150 m): [Link] Miles driven on Autopilot (3 b): [Link]
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