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2024-07-07 22:37:19
The Lancet is not claiming that many deaths. They are estimating the potential indirect deaths from the conflict. They did not conservatively estimate the that 186,000 people are dead. [Link]
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2024-07-07 23:16:35
It's literally in the paper: "Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death to the 37 396 deaths reported, it is not implausible to estimate that up to 186 000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza." [Link]
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2024-07-08 02:16:00
It is not a current count. The report is projecting, based on a 4 to 1 indirect to direct death ratio, that were the war to stop today with the 37,000 dead, at 4x this amount would be 186,000 or 8% of Gaza’s population. All wars produce indirect deaths. [Link]
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2024-07-08 06:37:27
Contrary to OP's claim, this is not a regular peer-reviewed article, but a "Correspondence", which are basically readers’ letters, with reflections on topics of general interest, that are not peer-reviewed. [Link]
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2024-07-08 07:00:44
NNN. The OP does not claim it's peer reviewed. Stop abusing community notes. The OP gets to frame their understanding of the article, which they are doing. Not misleading.
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2024-07-08 16:50:21
Martin McKee, one of the correspondence letter’s authors, has clarified that the 186k figure is “purely illustrative”, suggesting that it is not based on science or maths: [Link]
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2024-07-08 22:03:32
This letter to Lancet (not a per-reviewed article) is a complete joke. Just look at their reference 9, which is their main justification for "a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death". It leads to a UN report on narcotics use, absolutely irrelevant [Link]
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2024-07-09 02:26:57
The Lancet article, under the 9th citation, links to a UN report about drugs. However, the following UN piece does support the original article: [Link]
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2024-07-11 01:09:19
OP is misleading Lancelot piece was an opinion in the correspondence ['letters to editor', non-peer reviewed] section No facts were involved [Link] @martinmckee who wrote the piece admitted the numbers are ‘purely illustrative' in a now deleted exchange -screenshots saved: [Link]
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